Column by David P. Goldman. ( I have read his book and he uses UN statistics to make his case)
“Something really big is under way — and practically no one has noticed
it, even in the Arab world,” Ignatius quotes an e-mail from Eberstadt,
one of the best conservative economists working today. But I don’t think
it is quite accurate to say that “practically no one has noticed it.”
On the contrary, Islamist leaders like Iran’s Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and
Turkey’s Recep Tayyip Erdogan have been shouting from the rooftops about
the trend for the past five years, as my book reports. Excluding the
independence-hungry Kurdish minority, Turkey’s fertility rate is
probably around 1.5 children per female, about the same as Iran’s, and a
guarantee of national decline.
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